TNR PROTOGRAPHY
  • Home
  • Spot The Aurora
  • Bookings
  • Services
  • Contact
  • About
  • Products
  • Bucket Shots
  • What is Aurora?
  • Licensing
  • Pop-up Photoshoot
  • Aurora Forecast Updates
  • Product
  • Wedding Help!
  • TNR Protography - Around the Place
  • Spot The Aurora - Change Log

Aurora Forecast West Coast Nz - Changelog

V1.0 - aURORA fORECAST FOR wEST cOAST OF nz NOW LIVE

6/4/2025

0 Comments

 
After a tumultuous start, we are finally live, with a final product. Updates will be made as necessary, or to add extra functionality.  

How does the forecast work?
  • NOAA publishes space weather data
  • A local Home Assistant server records the data
  • Home Assistant calculates the data into 4 different scores;
    •  Aurora Score - No Lunar or Solar Influence
    • Final Aurora Score
    • Aurora Score - No Lunar or Solar Influence (30 Minute Average)
    • Final Aurora Score (30 Minute Average)
  • The two 30 Minute Average scores get sent via API to a online hosting service
  • I embed the result in my website and add some CSS and graphing to make it a bit more visually appealing

How is the score made?
Hemispheric Power is a metric that is essentially potential energy to be burnt as Aurora Substorms. IMF (Interplanetary Magnetic Field) is a metric that severely effects Hemispheric Power. If Bz is negative, then that increases Hemispheric Power. 
My Aurora Score - No Lunar or Solar Influence takes hemispheric power and converts it to a percentage (200GW = 100%), and boosts the score if Bz is negative. I then tested (for 2 months) at what percentage is visibility on the West Coast, specifically the Greymouth region. Then labeled the score as such. 
My Final Aurora Score takes into account when the sunsets, sunrises, moonrise, moon set and illumination for the West Coast. 
The 30 Minute Average Scores are there to flesh out a very dynamic score. This updates every 5 minutes, and provides my website with a 30 minute average. 

Displaying the data
I tried to make this as easy to understand as possible, so having a little bit of code that tells us exactly what visibility it is expected (eg none, pro cameras, phones, eyes etc), and using emojis really helps, the happier the emoji, the better chance there is to see aurora! I have made a 3 hour graph available, which shows the viewers what's happening. Is this growing or is it dying off or is it stable? Seeing the graph will help visualize this.
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Archives

    June 2025
    May 2025
    April 2025

    Categories

    All
    New Version

    RSS Feed

© COPYRIGHT 2024. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • Home
  • Spot The Aurora
  • Bookings
  • Services
  • Contact
  • About
  • Products
  • Bucket Shots
  • What is Aurora?
  • Licensing
  • Pop-up Photoshoot
  • Aurora Forecast Updates
  • Product
  • Wedding Help!
  • TNR Protography - Around the Place
  • Spot The Aurora - Change Log